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Bitcoin Edges Toward $65,000 as Treasury Yields Eclipse the Carry Trade for Only the Second Time on Record

Bitcoin pressed toward $65,000 on Thursday, July 30, 2026, as softer economic data eased fears of a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve. The move came ag…

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Bitcoin Edges Toward $65,000 as Treasury Yields Eclipse the Carry Trade for Only the Second Time on Record
Article image: Bitcoin Edges Toward $65,000 as Treasury Yields Eclipse the Carry Trade for Only the Second Time on Record

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  • Bitcoin pressed toward $65,000 on Thursday, July 30, 2026, as softer economic data eased fears of a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve. The…
  • The Fed held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday, a decision that was widely expected. Yet the vote was far from unanimous. Three…
  • Despite the hawkish dissent, markets interpreted Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference as less aggressive than feared. The implied probability of a…

That uncertainty triggered a sharp bear steepening in the Treasury market. The 30-year yield climbed to 5.231%, its highest level since 2007, while the 10-year yield rose to 4.697%. The policy-sensitive 2-year yield, by contrast, edged down to 4.275%. The widening spread between short- and long-dated bonds signaled that investors are demanding greater compensation for holding longer-term debt, driven by concerns over inflation persistence, fiscal risks, and the durability of economic growth.

For Bitcoin, the macro shift presents a double-edged sword. On one hand, the reduced likelihood of an imminent rate hike removed a near-term headwind, helping the cryptocurrency firm toward $64,670. On the other, the surge in Treasury yields has made holding cash or bonds more attractive relative to non-yielding assets. The phrase “paid to wait” captures the dilemma: with risk-free returns now exceeding those available from many crypto arbitrage strategies, marginal buyers have less incentive to deploy capital into digital assets.